Risk mitigation in evolutionary stag-hare games
ID: 0c15d092-77eb-41b8-a460-fbaba841d838 REVIEW_SCORE: 3.0 MTIME: [2025-05-03 Sat 15:30],[2025-05-03 Sat 15:30]
Can you absorb the risk of your neighbour not going stag hunting with you? If you can't, then the Nash equilibrium is unstable and the hare-hare strategy dominates. See Bret Devereaux on subsistence farming being mostly built around risk mitigation.
Anil Gupta during a neuroeconomics guest lecture talked about how iterated stag-hare games could be used to model this type of behaviour. IIRC the gist was:
- the risk-adjusted value of your marginal currency unit gets bigger as you get poorer
- among evenly poor populations, this skews the values of the stag-hare game to eliminate the mixed strategy equilibrium
- the stag-stag equilibrium is out of reach unless you have perfect trust between players, i.e. it is not resilient to noise
- ostensibly symmetric stag hunt games between rich and poor people are not actually symmetric
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